NFL MVP odds
Who wins NFL MVP this season?
The season-long award market, top names by volume. Prices move on every game; an injury can end a candidacy in a play.
The market now
| Market | Venue | YES | 1d | 7d | Bid / Ask | Volume | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough Will Tyler Shough win the MVP? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 2.6M contracts | |
| Kenneth Walker Will Kenneth Walker win the MVP? | Kalshi | 2% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 2.1M contracts | |
| Jared Goff Will Jared Goff win the MVP? | Kalshi | 5% | — | — | 4 / 5 | 2.1M contracts | |
| Bryce Young Will Bryce Young win the MVP? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 2.1M contracts | |
| Caleb Williams Will Caleb Williams win the MVP? | Kalshi | 6% | — | — | 5 / 6 | 1.9M contracts | |
| Jordan Love Will Jordan Love win the MVP? | Kalshi | 3% | — | — | 2 / 3 | 1.8M contracts | |
| Brock Purdy Will Brock Purdy win the MVP? | Kalshi | 16% | — | — | 15 / 16 | 1.7M contracts | |
| Joe Burrow Will Joe Burrow win the MVP? | Kalshi | 18% | — | — | 16 / 17 | 1.7M contracts |
YES is the price of the “yes” side in percent; a contract pays 100 if it happens. Changes are in points. Kalshi volume is in contracts; Polymarket volume is in dollars. They are not comparable.
What actually settles it
The venue’s own rule text for each contract, as published at quote time. This is the sentence that pays, and it can differ from the headline.
Will Tyler Shough win the MVP? — Tyler Shough (Kalshi)
If Tyler Shough wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Kenneth Walker win the MVP? — Kenneth Walker (Kalshi)
If Kenneth Walker wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Jared Goff win the MVP? — Jared Goff (Kalshi)
If Jared Goff wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Bryce Young win the MVP? — Bryce Young (Kalshi)
If Bryce Young wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Caleb Williams win the MVP? — Caleb Williams (Kalshi)
If Caleb Williams wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Jordan Love win the MVP? — Jordan Love (Kalshi)
If Jordan Love wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Brock Purdy win the MVP? — Brock Purdy (Kalshi)
If Brock Purdy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will Joe Burrow win the MVP? — Joe Burrow (Kalshi)
If Joe Burrow wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Sat, Feb 12, 2028, 10:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
How to read this market
How sports contracts differ from sportsbook bets — A prediction market contract on a game is not a moneyline bet. Spreads, overtime, postponements, the missing bookmaker margin, and how to compare the two prices.
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