Most traded

Where the money went in the last 24 hours, by desk, one line per question: a ladder shows its most-traded rung, a question priced on both venues appears once, and no series takes more than two lines. Kalshi volume is in contracts and Polymarket volume in dollars; the two are ranked together on notional value and are not exactly comparable. Same-day mechanical contracts (5-minute up/down, hourly temperatures, halves and sets) and parlay legs are excluded. A price is a probability, not a result.

Top 25, all venues

Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Polymarket · $3.7MPolymarket92.6%−2.5$3.7M
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Polymarket · $2.3MPolymarket28.5%+2.0$2.3M
Milwaukee winsKalshi · 1.1M contractsKalshi58%+6.01.1M contracts
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · $898KPolymarket8%−8.5$898K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket · $682KPolymarket29.5%+1.0$682K
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage — Match WinnerPolymarket · $520KPolymarket58.5%—$520K
Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC East Division? — Philadelphia EaglesKalshi · 307K contractsKalshi6%−5.0307K contracts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Polymarket · $252KPolymarket3.6%−1.9$252K
Will Seattle win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? — Seattle SeahawksKalshi · 251K contractsKalshi7%0.0251K contracts
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? — Ken Paxton (R)Polymarket · $234KPolymarket33.5%−2.0$234K
Will Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC North Division? — Pittsburgh SteelersKalshi · 223K contractsKalshi18%−1.0223K contracts
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Polymarket · $214KPolymarket3.8%−1.4$214K
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Polymarket · $211KPolymarket96.7%+13.3$211K
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Polymarket · $205KPolymarket28.5%+0.5$205K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Polymarket · $202KPolymarket91.5%−0.5$202K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Polymarket · $197KPolymarket96.6%+2.1$197K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House — Democrats SweepPolymarket · $163KPolymarket65.5%—$163K
Venus Williams winsKalshi · 152K contractsKalshi5%−3.0152K contracts
Martin Landaluce winsKalshi · 150K contractsKalshi10%−1.0150K contracts
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · $147KPolymarket2%−0.2$147K
Oregon St. winsKalshi · 140K contractsKalshi68%−2.0140K contracts
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket · $136KPolymarket1.2%−0.4$136K
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Polymarket · $108KPolymarket3.3%+0.7$108K
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Polymarket · $106KPolymarket2.1%+1.3$106K
Carlos Alcaraz winsKalshi · 102K contractsKalshi82%0.0102K contracts

Politics

Elections, control of Congress, the world's flashpoints, and the odds on each.
Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Polymarket · $2.3MPolymarket28.5%+2.0$2.3M
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · $898KPolymarket8%−8.5$898K
2026 Balance of Power: OtherPolymarket · $857KPolymarket0.2%+0.1$857K
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Polymarket · $682KPolymarket29.5%+1.0$682K
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Polymarket · $405KPolymarket0.7%+0.5$405K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Polymarket · $252KPolymarket3.6%−1.9$252K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? — Ken Paxton (R)Polymarket · $234KPolymarket33.5%−2.0$234K
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Polymarket · $205KPolymarket28.5%+0.5$205K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Polymarket · $202KPolymarket91.5%−0.5$202K
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Polymarket · $197KPolymarket96.6%+2.1$197K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Polymarket · $147KPolymarket2%−0.2$147K
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Polymarket · $136KPolymarket1.2%−0.4$136K

Economy

The Fed, inflation, jobs, and the scheduled prints that move expectations.
Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Polymarket · $3.7MPolymarket92.6%−2.5$3.7M
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Polymarket · $214KPolymarket3.8%−1.4$214K
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Polymarket · $129KPolymarket0.3%+0.2$129K
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? — ↓ $60Polymarket · $79KPolymarket0.1%—$79K
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Polymarket · $73KPolymarket49%−7.5$73K
Will there be a recession in 2026? — StartsKalshi · 42K contractsKalshi2%−3.042K contracts
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? — $1.75–$2.0TPolymarket · $36KPolymarket29.5%−5.0$36K
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Polymarket · $31KPolymarket98.7%+46.1$31K
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? — ↑$1.5TPolymarket · $28KPolymarket96%+9.5$28K
Will Zyn Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 100 ?Kalshi · 16K contractsKalshi99%+3.016K contracts
Will Coors Light Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 85 ?Kalshi · 13K contractsKalshi97%+1.013K contracts
Will Mountain Dew Point of Sale Growth for October 2026 be above 90 ?Kalshi · 11K contractsKalshi98%+2.011K contracts

Sports

Tonight's marquee games, championship futures, and how exchange prices compare with the books.
Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Milwaukee winsKalshi · 1.1M contractsKalshi58%+6.01.1M contracts
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage — Match WinnerPolymarket · $520KPolymarket58.5%—$520K
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Polymarket · $422KPolymarket0.2%—$422K
Will Philadelphia win the Pro Football NFC East Division? — Philadelphia EaglesKalshi · 307K contractsKalshi6%−5.0307K contracts
Will Seattle win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? — Seattle SeahawksKalshi · 251K contractsKalshi7%0.0251K contracts
Will Pittsburgh win the Pro Football AFC North Division? — Pittsburgh SteelersKalshi · 223K contractsKalshi18%−1.0223K contracts
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Polymarket · $211KPolymarket96.7%+13.3$211K
Venus Williams winsKalshi · 152K contractsKalshi5%−3.0152K contracts
Martin Landaluce winsKalshi · 150K contractsKalshi10%−1.0150K contracts
Oregon St. winsKalshi · 140K contractsKalshi68%−2.0140K contracts
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Polymarket · $108KPolymarket3.3%+0.7$108K
Carlos Alcaraz winsKalshi · 102K contractsKalshi82%0.0102K contracts

Weather

Daily temperature contracts: tracked and explained, never called.
Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Will the maximum temperature be <60° on Oct 27, 2026? — 59° or belowKalshi · 16K contractsKalshi6%+6.016K contracts

Crypto

Price-threshold contracts on the majors, and the wording that decides them.
Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?Polymarket · $100KPolymarket2.2%−13.3$100K
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? — ↑ 90,000Polymarket · $83KPolymarket2%−1.2$83K
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? — ↓ 10,000Polymarket · $35KPolymarket0.7%0.0$35K
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 27?Polymarket · $34KPolymarket98.5%+2.5$34K
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? — ↓ 2,200Polymarket · $22KPolymarket34.5%−1.0$22K

Everything else

Esports, daily club matches, and other markets outside the five desks. Listed because the volume is real; not covered editorially.

Most traded, 24hVenueYES1dVolume
Guangzhou Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Claire LiuPolymarket · $584KPolymarket0.1%−46.9$584K
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs IndiaPolymarket · $444KPolymarket0.1%−45.4$444K
Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A — Match WinnerPolymarket · $408KPolymarket0.1%−60.4$408K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Polymarket · $237KPolymarket43.5%+4.0$237K
M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Artur Kukasian vs Jakub KrawczykPolymarket · $185KPolymarket0.5%—$185K
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs — Match WinnerPolymarket · $184KPolymarket64.5%−2.0$184K
Pistons vs. KnicksPolymarket · $138KPolymarket38.5%−5.0$138K
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs — Match WinnerPolymarket · $133KPolymarket74.5%+22.0$133K
Kings vs. SpursPolymarket · $97KPolymarket8.5%−4.0$97K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?Polymarket · $90KPolymarket55.5%−1.0$90K
Nets vs. CelticsPolymarket · $89KPolymarket17.5%—$89K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage — Match WinnerPolymarket · $76KPolymarket79.5%—$76K

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