Terms of use

By reading yesnodaily.com or subscribing to the Yes/No Daily newsletter you agree to these terms. They are short because the relationship is simple: we publish news and explainers about prediction markets, and you read them.

Yes/No Daily is a news publication. Everything on the site and in the newsletter, including prices, odds, calls, and commentary, is published for informational and journalistic purposes. It is not investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, not a recommendation to buy or sell any contract, and not an offer or solicitation of any kind. We are not a broker, an exchange, an investment adviser, or a fiduciary, and we have no relationship with Kalshi, Polymarket, or any other venue beyond reading their public data.

Prices and odds are quoted from the venues’ public APIs at the time shown and can be stale, wrong, or unavailable. A price is a probability, not a result. The only thing that determines what a contract pays is the venue’s own rule text and its settlement process, which can change and which we may summarize imperfectly. Check the venue before relying on anything you read here. We correct errors when we find them and welcome corrections at hello@yesnodaily.com.

Trading event contracts involves the risk of losing the entire amount you put in. Whether such trading is available or lawful where you live is a question for the venue and for the law of your jurisdiction, not for us; see our guide on where prediction markets are legal for the structure of that question. Any decision to trade is yours alone.

The text, design, and compilations on the site and in the newsletter are ours. You may quote brief excerpts with attribution and a link, share issues with friends, and read the site for personal, non-commercial use. You may not republish issues or guides in full, scrape the site at scale, or present our content as your own. Prices and market data belong to the venues that publish them. The site’s /llms.txt describes the pages we are happy for automated readers to index.

The newsletter is free. You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in any issue, and we will stop sending. We may change the frequency, format, or content of the newsletter, or discontinue it, at any time. How we handle your email address is described in the privacy policy.

The site links to the venues, to news sources, and to other third-party sites. We do not control them and are not responsible for their content, availability, or practices. A link is a citation, not an endorsement.

The site and newsletter are provided “as is” and “as available,” without warranties of any kind, express or implied, including accuracy, completeness, timeliness, merchantability, and fitness for a particular purpose. To the fullest extent permitted by law, Yes/No Daily and its owners, writers, and contributors are not liable for any loss or damage, direct or indirect, arising from your use of the site or the newsletter or from any decision you make in reliance on them, including trading losses.

We may update these terms; the date at the top is the version in force, and continued use after a change is acceptance of it. These terms are governed by the laws of the State of Florida, United States, without regard to conflict-of-law rules. Questions go to hello@yesnodaily.com or by post to Yes/No Daily, 1065 SW 8th St #2079, Miami, FL 33130, United States.