New York City daily high temperature
What will today's high temperature be in New York City?
Kalshi's daily high-temperature ladder for New York City. The page rolls to the next open day; each settled day is kept below with the final price and the result. Tracking and education only: we make no calls on weather.
The market now
| Market | Venue | YES | 1d | 7d | Bid / Ask | Volume | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67° or below Will the maximum temperature be <68° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 56K contracts | |
| 68° to 69° Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% | — | — | 99 / 100 | 37K contracts | |
| 70° to 71° Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 61K contracts | |
| 72° to 73° Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 21K contracts | |
| 74° to 75° Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 3K contracts | |
| 76° or above Will the maximum temperature be >75° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 3K contracts |
YES is the price of the “yes” side in percent; a contract pays 100 if it happens. Changes are in points. Kalshi volume is in contracts; Polymarket volume is in dollars. They are not comparable.
What actually settles it
Read the rules on each contract: as of this writing Kalshi's daily NYC high-temperature markets name The Weather Company at station CLINYC as the settlement source. A weather app's number for 'New York' is not that reading.
The venue’s own rule text for each contract, as published at quote time. This is the sentence that pays, and it can differ from the headline.
Will the maximum temperature be <68° on Oct 26, 2026? — 67° or below (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 26, 2026, is less than 68° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 68-69° on Oct 26, 2026? — 68° to 69° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 68-69° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 70-71° on Oct 26, 2026? — 70° to 71° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 70-71° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 72-73° on Oct 26, 2026? — 72° to 73° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 72-73° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 74-75° on Oct 26, 2026? — 74° to 75° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 74-75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be >75° on Oct 26, 2026? — 76° or above (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 26, 2026, is greater than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
How to read this market
How temperature markets settle, and why your weather app shows a different number — A daily high temperature contract settles on one station, one data provider, one reading. Why the forecast, the weather app, and the contract can all disagree.
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