Miami daily high temperature
What will today's high temperature be in Miami?
Kalshi's daily high-temperature ladder for Miami (International Airport). Tracking and education only.
The market now
| Market | Venue | YES | 1d | 7d | Bid / Ask | Volume | History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78° or below Will the maximum temperature be <79° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 4K contracts | |
| 79° to 80° Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 10K contracts | |
| 81° to 82° Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 40K contracts | |
| 83° to 84° Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 99% | — | — | 99 / 100 | 24K contracts | |
| 85° to 86° Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 17K contracts | |
| 87° or above Will the maximum temperature be >86° on Oct 26, 2026? | Kalshi | 1% | — | — | 0 / 1 | 6K contracts |
YES is the price of the “yes” side in percent; a contract pays 100 if it happens. Changes are in points. Kalshi volume is in contracts; Polymarket volume is in dollars. They are not comparable.
What actually settles it
The venue’s own rule text for each contract, as published at quote time. This is the sentence that pays, and it can differ from the headline.
Will the maximum temperature be <79° on Oct 26, 2026? — 78° or below (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 26, 2026, is less than 79° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 79-80° on Oct 26, 2026? — 79° to 80° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 79-80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 81-82° on Oct 26, 2026? — 81° to 82° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 81-82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 83-84° on Oct 26, 2026? — 83° to 84° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 83-84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be 85-86° on Oct 26, 2026? — 85° to 86° (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 26, 2026, is between 85-86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
Will the maximum temperature be >86° on Oct 26, 2026? — 87° or above (Kalshi)
If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 26, 2026, is greater than 86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Trading closes Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 1:00 AM ET. View on Kalshi
How to read this market
How temperature markets settle, and why your weather app shows a different number — A daily high temperature contract settles on one station, one data provider, one reading. Why the forecast, the weather app, and the contract can all disagree.
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Wed, Sep 23, 2026